PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

metadelta

0xb6ad3edd7b7e738acd1db48e016f333f83f69378

Realised P&L
$-358.06
Volume
$9.4k
Markets traded
3
Open portfolio
$560.97

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded3
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes0.1400.135$552.67$22.24
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3360.180$8.30$7.20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00$328.63

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 14:16Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.12$21.60
07-24 14:08Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.1222095566$95.26
07-15 16:29Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.1299999978$48.29
06-21 15:00Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0539999983$29.84
06-20 09:24Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
06-20 09:22Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$60.00
06-16 09:59Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$100.00
06-16 09:43Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.064$12.00
06-15 07:29Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.062$86.80
06-15 07:21Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0619999986$40.00
06-12 16:00Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?BUY0.35$4.13
06-12 09:08Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.2$1.20
06-12 09:07Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.2$42.00
06-12 09:06Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.19$1.90
04-19 13:34Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?BUY0.1443301724$49.98