metadelta
0xb6ad3edd7b7e738acd1db48e016f333f83f69378
- Realised P&L
- $-358.06
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $560.97
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration98.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.135 | $552.67 | −$22.24 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.336 | 0.180 | $8.30 | −$7.20 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.062 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$328.63 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:16 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $21.60 |
| 07-24 14:08 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1222095566 | $95.26 |
| 07-15 16:29 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1299999978 | $48.29 |
| 06-21 15:00 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0539999983 | $29.84 |
| 06-20 09:24 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 09:22 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $60.00 |
| 06-16 09:59 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $100.00 |
| 06-16 09:43 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.064 | $12.00 |
| 06-15 07:29 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.062 | $86.80 |
| 06-15 07:21 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0619999986 | $40.00 |
| 06-12 16:00 | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.13 |
| 06-12 09:08 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |
| 06-12 09:07 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $42.00 |
| 06-12 09:06 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 04-19 13:34 | Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | BUY | 0.1443301724 | $49.98 |