PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959

0xb6987e4a9b5f238bf627ff2aa511f0c0da50976a

Realised P&L
$-8.3k
Volume
$3.44M
Markets traded
119
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded119
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2690.755$2.3k+$1.5k
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? · Yes0.0560.025$128.94$160.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9? · Yes0.0310.033$19.01+$1.17
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? · Yes0.5800.495$6.83$1.17
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$316.96
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$18.99
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary? · No0.0010.000$0.00$100.00
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$106.14
Iran closes its airspace by May 24? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$385.54
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? · No0.1680.000$0.00$88.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00$120.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$19.87
Israel closes its airspace by May 8? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$1.35
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$9.00
Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.0110.000$0.00$23.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 20:01Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9?BUY0.031$17.70
08-04 19:56US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.7106593407$323.35
08-04 19:07Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9?BUY0.028$0.14
08-04 08:02US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5$203.00
08-03 06:03Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August?BUY0.5799999884$8.00
08-03 05:59Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August?BUY0.05$100.00
08-02 20:23US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5396594737$200.00
08-02 20:22US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5399999851$34.00
08-02 14:41Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.39$35.12
08-02 12:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.489609691$142.00
08-02 04:45US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5499999994$179.00
08-02 04:44Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?SELL0.98$178.96
08-01 18:06Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7182044844$40.00
08-01 08:32Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?SELL0.66$110.16
07-31 23:52Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.599101348$100.00
Trader 0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959 · PolyBot