0xb6987E4A9B5F238BF627ff2AA511F0C0Da50976A-1770763811959
0xb6987e4a9b5f238bf627ff2aa511f0c0da50976a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $3.44M
- Markets traded
- 119
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded119
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.5kat 0.036US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$801.55at 0.246Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$192.00at 0.480Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
- +$128.04at 0.370Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15?
- +$101.51at 0.009Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.031 | $17.70 |
| 08-04 19:56 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.7106593407 | $323.35 |
| 08-04 19:07 | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.028 | $0.14 |
| 08-04 08:02 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $203.00 |
| 08-03 06:03 | Will XRP dip to $1.00 in August? | BUY | 0.5799999884 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 05:59 | Will XRP dip to $0.80 in August? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 20:23 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5396594737 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 20:22 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5399999851 | $34.00 |
| 08-02 14:41 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.39 | $35.12 |
| 08-02 12:15 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.489609691 | $142.00 |
| 08-02 04:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5499999994 | $179.00 |
| 08-02 04:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.98 | $178.96 |
| 08-01 18:06 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7182044844 | $40.00 |
| 08-01 08:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | SELL | 0.66 | $110.16 |
| 07-31 23:52 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.599101348 | $100.00 |