Silvervol
0xb631d1d6d538ecdd45fcd1fe61f8f27d865e8a87
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $327.1k
- Markets traded
- 671
- Open portfolio
- $616.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded671
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$552.93at 0.277Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
- +$195.28at 0.800Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$155.90at 0.436Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
- +$152.82at 0.231Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?
- +$143.85at 0.364Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:29 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:28 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:27 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.4232991584 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1219385212 | $8.81 |
| 08-04 04:02 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.89 | $70.22 |
| 08-03 04:21 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299998927 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:38 | Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0348720031 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 11:03 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.089999949 | $1.50 |
| 08-01 11:02 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999961 | $7.00 |
| 08-01 10:56 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7879999787 | $4.00 |
| 08-01 10:54 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5799999923 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 10:53 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.5499999807 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 10:51 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0899999845 | $5.00 |
| 08-01 10:49 | Base FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4 | $100.00 |
| 08-01 10:36 | Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? | SELL | 0.68 | $11.21 |