dadal
0xb59ad45e33a20c8af098a2cea8062880480a6ed2
- Realised P&L
- $-20.35
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 23°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 30°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.68at 0.080Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?
- +$39.57at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on August 4?
- +$35.00at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on July 30?
- +$29.64at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 17:26 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.18 | $6.85 |
| 07-29 14:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on July 29? | SELL | 0.999 | $39.96 |
| 07-28 08:09 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.3917113714 | $10.37 |
| 07-28 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 28? | SELL | 0.3166666667 | $9.50 |
| 07-27 06:38 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 01-18 08:29 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on January 18? | BUY | 0.3599999349 | $1.99 |