kiszony666
0xb52bed5692f410333fe07d5fedd575cac0b89646
- Realised P&L
- $-733.70
- Volume
- $116.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,571
- Open portfolio
- $48.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,571
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Salvador Price · Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos | 0.870 | 0.820 | $28.70 | −$1.75 |
| Chinatrust Brothers vs. Uni-President Lions · Uni-President Lions | 0.990 | 0.948 | $7.58 | −$0.34 |
| Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs · Walczaki | 0.830 | 1.000 | $5.70 | +$0.97 |
| Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 4.5 Corners · Over | 0.560 | 0.505 | $4.51 | −$0.49 |
| Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-08-06? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$432.52at 0.253Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?
- +$425.61at 0.370Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-05-11?
- +$333.87at 0.310Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$191.93at 0.439Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-12?
- +$190.91at 0.440Knicks vs. Cavaliers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:49 | ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Salvador Price | BUY | 0.87 | $13.05 |
| 08-06 17:48 | ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Salvador Price | BUY | 0.87 | $13.05 |
| 08-06 17:46 | ITF Londrina: Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos vs Salvador Price | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 08-06 16:46 | Istanbul 2: Paul Inchauspe vs Koki Matsuda | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 15:33 | Will Pakhtakor win on 2026-08-06? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 15:32 | Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Playoffs | BUY | 0.83 | $4.73 |
| 08-06 13:18 | ITF Curtea de Arges: Gabriel Ghetu vs Vito Dell'elba | BUY | 0.85 | $12.75 |
| 08-06 13:13 | ITF Curtea de Arges: Gabriel Ghetu vs Vito Dell'elba | BUY | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 08-06 12:24 | Hiroshima Carp vs. Yomiuri Giants | BUY | 0.986 | $7.89 |
| 08-06 12:00 | Chunichi Dragons vs. Tokyo Yakult Swallows | BUY | 0.95 | $7.60 |
| 08-06 11:56 | Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks vs. Nippon Ham Fighters | BUY | 0.97 | $9.70 |
| 08-06 11:54 | Wei Chuan Dragons vs. Uni-President Lions | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 08-06 11:04 | XRP Up or Down - August 6, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 10:22 | Jagiellonia Białystok vs. Rangers FC: Rangers FC O/U 4.5 Corners | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 10:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9799999632 | $25.00 |