lallaal
0xb49fc4335ae819ea24de83606a6b92b5b4be7d07
- Realised P&L
- $-17.22
- Volume
- $46.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $267.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $121.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will Solana reach $160 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $70.82 | −$0.18 |
| Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $40.52 | −$0.14 |
| Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $34.85 | −$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.22at 0.730Ethereum Up or Down - November 7, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
- +$0.79at 0.930Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$0.66at 0.994Will Solana reach $160 in April?
- +$0.55at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
- +$0.51at 0.997Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:03 | Will XRP reach $1.70 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.66 |
| 08-04 14:03 | Will XRP reach $1.80 August 3-9? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $71.00 |
| 08-04 14:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $121.00 |
| 07-03 09:07 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $120 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.77 |
| 07-03 09:06 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on July 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $38.88 |
| 07-03 09:05 | Will the price of Solana be above $120 on July 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.60 |
| 07-03 09:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $123.00 |
| 07-03 09:04 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $26.02 |
| 06-04 12:33 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.996 | $102.49 |
| 06-04 12:32 | Will Solana dip to $20 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 06-04 12:23 | Will Solana dip to $20 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.82 |
| 06-04 12:23 | Will Solana reach $130 June 1-7? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 06-04 12:22 | Will Solana reach $160 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $59.89 |
| 06-04 12:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999873 | $78.00 |