0xb485770E627BF91246E2a929e63dd022EC3303A5-1764826046279
0xb485770e627bf91246e2a929e63dd022ec3303a5
- Realised P&L
- $-14.74
- Volume
- $195.41
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $2.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.075 | $1.88 | −$3.13 |
| Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.225 | $0.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.247 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? · No | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.102 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.200Fed rate hike in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-29 00:32 | Will the close USD/JPY price at the end of 2026 be less than 140? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 00:20 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2469999998 | $1.00 |
| 06-05 13:41 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |
| 05-18 01:32 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 05-07 06:02 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 01-30 01:13 | Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.1019999143 | $1.00 |
| 12-04 05:43 | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |