fizzz
0xb453f7c0adf845a77ce2d785d8992097f89fec95
- Realised P&L
- $-133.75
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 79
- Open portfolio
- $2.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded79
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.780 | $2.10 | +$0.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.71at 0.410Solana above $150 on September 27?
- +$8.65at 0.510Ripple above $2.39 on December 13?
- +$7.32at 0.510XRP Up or Down - January 29, 5AM ET
- +$7.05at 0.630Solana above $210 on November 22?
- +$4.98at 0.700Timberwolves vs. Pistons
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 01:04 | Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | SELL | 0.79 | $13.34 |
| 08-04 01:18 | Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9? | SELL | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 07-20 19:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.81 | $36.00 |
| 07-20 13:24 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22? | SELL | 0.6923016158 | $19.28 |
| 07-09 20:44 | Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B? | SELL | 0.117233695 | $10.05 |
| 07-01 09:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.20 |
| 06-29 10:50 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1? | SELL | 0.49 | $13.12 |
| 06-28 22:05 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.03 |
| 06-22 19:12 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24? | SELL | 0.53 | $21.27 |
| 06-20 20:03 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 22? | SELL | 0.2 | $2.41 |
| 06-19 09:57 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21? | SELL | 0.57120012 | $38.08 |
| 06-13 22:31 | Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $16.15 |
| 05-16 22:20 | Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania? | SELL | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 05-16 13:42 | US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30? | SELL | 0.65 | $4.29 |
| 05-12 08:50 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $28.57 |