PolyBot

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Traders

fizzz

0xb453f7c0adf845a77ce2d785d8992097f89fec95

Realised P&L
$-133.75
Volume
$3.8k
Markets traded
79
Open portfolio
$2.10

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded79
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM on August 8? · Yes0.5200.780$2.10+$0.70

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 01:04Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?SELL0.79$13.34
08-04 01:18Will there be 6 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from August 3 - August 9?SELL0.6$18.00
07-20 19:12Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on July 22?SELL0.81$36.00
07-20 13:24Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 40°C on July 22?SELL0.6923016158$19.28
07-09 20:44Will Citigroup (C) Q2 provision for credit losses be above $2.5B?SELL0.117233695$10.05
07-01 09:21Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on July 3?SELL0.29$4.20
06-29 10:50Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on July 1?SELL0.49$13.12
06-28 22:05Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C or higher on June 29?SELL0.03$0.03
06-22 19:12Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 24?SELL0.53$21.27
06-20 20:03Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 22?SELL0.2$2.41
06-19 09:57Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 21?SELL0.57120012$38.08
06-13 22:31Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2026?SELL0.21$16.15
05-16 22:20Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?SELL0.08$24.00
05-16 13:42US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?SELL0.65$4.29
05-12 08:50Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6$28.57