PolyBot

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Traders

0xb4137939635b2d6d29bfac4429eaab05f5d81cb7

Realised P&L
$-12.9k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
165
Open portfolio
$940.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded165
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m? · Yes0.6250.360$288.23$212.41
National Bank Open: Luciano Darderi vs Gabriel Diallo · Luciano Darderi0.4001.000$250.00+$150.00
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Anastasia Bertacchi vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva · Ustiniya Lekomtseva0.2201.000$227.27+$177.27
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? · Yes0.1340.075$116.88$91.99
Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? · Yes0.0860.025$44.20$106.12
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? · Yes0.1920.001$1.04$199.08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? · Yes0.1490.001$0.84$249.58
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 2, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET · Down0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$50.00
Will "In the Grey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 3.5m and 4m? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$6.32
ITF W100 Landisville, PA Women: Madison Sieg vs Ankita Raina · Ankita Raina0.2400.000$0.00$40.00
Will "The Mandalorian and Grogu" 4-day Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 92m? · Yes0.0260.000$0.00$449.55
Will "Backrooms" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 79m? · No0.1470.000$0.00$225.69
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Egypt? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$100.00
Will "The Devil Wears Prada 2" 4th Weekend Box Office be between 11.5m and 12.5m? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$9.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 05:09Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m?BUY0.13581362$180.00
08-07 23:19Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m?BUY0.1238810709$28.87
08-07 14:33Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?BUY0.1299999957$25.00
08-07 14:33Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m?BUY0.5699999994$98.00
08-07 08:51Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?BUY0.0971292479$25.00
08-07 08:21Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?BUY0.0999173683$100.00
08-06 23:47Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?BUY0.32$3.00
08-06 23:47Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?BUY0.2131777316$14.00
08-06 23:46Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?BUY0.1865263158$8.86
08-06 23:46Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?BUY0.3$6.30
08-06 23:45Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?BUY0.1288396233$19.97
08-06 21:23National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurSELL0.99$330.00
08-06 20:15Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary?BUY0.0581379286$25.00
08-06 19:50National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de MinaurBUY0.5999999994$200.00
08-06 19:48Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?BUY0.183792$22.97