0xb4137939635b2d6d29bfac4429eaab05f5d81cb7
- Realised P&L
- $-12.9k
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Markets traded
- 165
- Open portfolio
- $940.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded165
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.290Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 350m?
- +$900.00at 0.100Will "GOAT" Third Weekend Box Office be greater than 12m?
- +$872.07at 0.280Will George Santos attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
- +$524.54at 0.206Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 360m and 370m?
- +$323.71at 0.200LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 05:09 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? | BUY | 0.13581362 | $180.00 |
| 08-07 23:19 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 150m and 160m? | BUY | 0.1238810709 | $28.87 |
| 08-07 14:33 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.1299999957 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 14:33 | Will "The Odyssey" 4th Weekend Box Office be at least 32m? | BUY | 0.5699999994 | $98.00 |
| 08-07 08:51 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.0971292479 | $25.00 |
| 08-07 08:21 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.0999173683 | $100.00 |
| 08-06 23:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 08-06 23:47 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | BUY | 0.2131777316 | $14.00 |
| 08-06 23:46 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | BUY | 0.1865263158 | $8.86 |
| 08-06 23:46 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.30 |
| 08-06 23:45 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | BUY | 0.1288396233 | $19.97 |
| 08-06 21:23 | National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur | SELL | 0.99 | $330.00 |
| 08-06 20:15 | Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez earn the most votes in the WA-03 primary? | BUY | 0.0581379286 | $25.00 |
| 08-06 19:50 | National Bank Open: Cameron Norrie vs Alex de Minaur | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 08-06 19:48 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m? | BUY | 0.183792 | $22.97 |