0xb3d19af52a836bab47275eb0f63b4b5888a56c34
- Realised P&L
- $-43.25
- Volume
- $524.03
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $0.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.001 | $0.13 | −$9.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.80at 0.510Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
- +$4.62at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
- +$3.62at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
- +$3.30at 0.603Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
- +$2.46at 0.670Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 8, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.7399998964 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0404157044 | $7.00 |
| 08-08 03:55 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0365853659 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 23:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.25 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 14:23 | Will HJK Helsinki win on 2026-08-03? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-03 14:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | SELL | 0.02 | $0.19 |
| 08-03 14:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 14:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET | BUY | 0.4299999871 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999625 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:51 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | SELL | 0.1563104839 | $1.55 |
| 08-03 07:50 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | BUY | 0.503952551 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:39 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 08-03 07:38 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5099999796 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:35 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4940711462 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:32 | Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 3, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET | SELL | 0.15 | $1.47 |