HamletPucci
0xb3b6cb703f47d3f21c8a082dcfb98617bbe8e075
- Realised P&L
- $-2.00
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $90.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration68.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.625 | $62.50 | +$13.50 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? · Yes | 0.634 | 0.585 | $18.46 | −$1.54 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.340 | $6.80 | −$0.80 |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600B and $700B on August 31? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.085 | $1.70 | −$6.70 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.003 | $0.72 | −$0.28 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 8? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.003 | $0.70 | −$4.30 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0041557825 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0087125723 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:03 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.0042087542 | $1.00 |
| 08-07 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.0179630124 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 07:58 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027? | BUY | 0.6336633663 | $20.00 |
| 08-06 19:59 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $700B and $800B on August 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $7.60 |
| 08-06 19:54 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |