PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xB2f661e39574c9F4B8378dE3a38B08FaA1165d2d-1770109235958

0xb2f661e39574c9f4b8378de3a38b08faa1165d2d

Realised P&L
$-2.7k
Volume
$596.3k
Markets traded
1,821
Open portfolio
$199.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,821
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jim Pillen win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.7591.000$60.09+$14.49
Will Greg Hull win the 2026 New Mexico Governor Republican primary election? · Yes0.5181.000$37.11+$17.87
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.2270.163$9.48$3.72
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0960.164$9.36+$3.86
Will Bad Bunny be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.0700.245$7.84+$5.60
Will Jamie Davis Jr. be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Louisiana? · Yes0.4801.000$7.15+$3.72
Will Kim Farington be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? · Yes0.1600.120$5.63$1.85
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0270.065$5.30+$3.10
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0800.085$5.26+$0.31
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.1020.069$4.07$1.98
Will Michael B. Jordan be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.1200.102$3.08$0.56
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0580.045$3.02$0.83
Will Connor Storrie be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.1300.085$2.56$1.36
Will Hudson Williams be named People's Sexiest Man Alive in 2026? · Yes0.1100.075$2.29$1.07
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0750.034$2.21$2.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 20:05Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?SELL0.16$5.44
04-21 16:00Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?BUY0.26$13.84
03-14 02:39Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 14?BUY0.23$14.94
03-07 00:32Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:31Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:29Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:28Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:26Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:25Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:23Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:22Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:20Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:19Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:17Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50
03-07 00:16Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on March 7?BUY0.001$1.50