0xB2CA95DDcb43Adaeb2BF7e6e7D1Dfce7e522CF4D-1782111440106
0xb2ca95ddcb43adaeb2bf7e6e7d1dfce7e522cf4d
- Realised P&L
- $-382.25
- Volume
- $20.0k
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.00at 0.183Will Jack Antonoff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
- +$4.00at 0.733Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
- +$3.59at 0.677Will Ethereum reach $2,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$3.50at 0.737Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
- +$3.06at 0.224Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 11:35 | Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.56 | $44.80 |
| 08-02 11:35 | Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Tread launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $1.20 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Solana reach $90 in July? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.05 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 07-12 12:08 | New COVID variant of concern before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.85 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.72 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Russia capture all of Ternuvate by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Scott Black win the 2026 North Las Vegas mayoral election? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.53 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will there be between 115m and 120m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.70 |
| 07-12 12:08 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.50 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.45 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.32 | $0.32 |
| 07-12 12:08 | Will Philip Sarnecki win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.105 | $0.21 |