beida
0xb29b141fd4936b6c735fc3da791e1296e4093904
- Realised P&L
- $72.75
- Volume
- $28.5k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $75.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $20 on August 8? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $27.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $23.30 | −$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$62.43at 0.900Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
- +$25.40at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 14?
- +$20.91at 0.090Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on June 14?
- +$7.43at 0.995Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$0.19at 0.981Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 12:55 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $23.32 |
| 08-05 12:55 | Will the price of Solana be above $20 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.97 |
| 08-05 12:54 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-21 03:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.21 |
| 07-21 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.98 |
| 07-21 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.9977125 | $19.95 |
| 07-21 03:26 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on July 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 06-14 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be 73°F or below on June 15? | BUY | 0.9984835378 | $15.47 |
| 06-14 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 7°C or below on June 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.98 |
| 06-14 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 45°C or higher on June 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.98 |
| 06-14 13:40 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 44°C or higher on June 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $16.97 |
| 05-13 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.48 |
| 05-13 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.998 | $12.97 |
| 05-13 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on May 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 05-13 03:59 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 14°C on May 14? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.98 |