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Traders

MichaelPi

0xb25ed09b7693fc975c8d1ee825b4a37a60d4a93b

Realised P&L
$185.80
Volume
$158.4k
Markets traded
708
Open portfolio
$2.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded708
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 6? · Yes0.0400.005$0.50$3.50
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 5? · Yes0.0110.001$0.06$1.18
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5? · Yes0.1000.001$0.03$6.04
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5? · Yes0.0200.001$0.02$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on May 23? · Yes0.1770.000$0.00$16.51
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on May 2? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 6? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00$40.38
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Up0.0260.000$0.00$2.90
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 8? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00$8.16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 30-31°F on February 23? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$11.00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 17? · Yes0.2850.000$0.00$27.57
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 7? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00$8.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on May 16? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$8.38
Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00$1.33
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on June 11? · Yes0.2320.000$0.00$46.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 22:37Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on August 5?SELL0.001$0.11
08-05 21:55Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5?SELL0.01$0.92
08-05 21:50Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 5?BUY0.02$2.66
08-05 21:42Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?SELL0.19$2.09
08-05 21:41Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 5?BUY0.1$7.17
08-05 07:21Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.07$0.55
08-05 07:10Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.19$2.55
08-05 05:42Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.14$1.88
08-05 05:35Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.14$2.73
08-05 05:00Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.1$1.20
08-05 04:57Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSELL0.26$2.60
08-05 04:36Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 5?SELL0.16$1.92
08-05 03:35Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.17$1.19
08-05 03:34Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETBUY0.24$1.44
08-05 02:29Dogecoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETBUY0.02$1.33