0xB244A9b2072e73CC55280aBc4044dfBf0CEd95E0-1767533654301
0xb244a9b2072e73cc55280abc4044dfbf0ced95e0
- Realised P&L
- $-94.71
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $1.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. weekly flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 30 be less than 0.1? · No | 0.430 | 0.095 | $1.90 | −$6.70 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Cádiz CF win on 2026-05-24? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.40at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
- +$4.90at 0.620Solana Up or Down - April 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$4.88at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
- +$4.46at 0.400Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
- +$4.26at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 05:17 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | SELL | 0.53 | $2.75 |
| 08-04 05:14 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $0.12 |
| 08-04 05:14 | Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.74 |
| 08-04 05:00 | LoL: T1 vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifier | BUY | 0.509999948 | $2.65 |
| 07-20 13:12 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 07-20 09:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4599999233 | $2.40 |
| 07-20 09:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $3.25 |
| 07-20 08:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999608 | $2.45 |
| 07-20 07:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999863 | $2.40 |
| 07-20 07:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET | BUY | 0.8599999844 | $4.40 |
| 07-20 06:54 | Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999477 | $3.25 |
| 07-20 05:27 | Solana Up or Down - July 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 07-20 04:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.10 |
| 07-20 04:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET | BUY | 0.17999988 | $1.14 |
| 07-20 02:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.38 | $1.90 |