bda-
0xb2370e1a48e45e2e13e03bd0067e41b92f56ccb4
- Realised P&L
- $-89.27
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 80
- Open portfolio
- $63.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded80
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.845 | $35.21 | +$5.21 |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.845 | $23.47 | +$3.47 |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? · Yes | 0.427 | 0.185 | $4.33 | −$5.67 |
| Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? · Yes | 0.643 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? · Yes | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.23at 0.438Will the Individual taxation referendum be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
- +$17.05at 0.730Will Edouard Philippe be the next mayor of Le Havre?
- +$12.81at 0.700Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?
- +$12.45at 0.100Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on March 31?
- +$12.09at 0.620Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-19 15:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5399999986 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 15:41 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4124999799 | $10.00 |
| 05-24 16:26 | Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | SELL | 0.9621598272 | $35.64 |
| 05-24 13:19 | Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.72 | $20.00 |
| 05-24 13:17 | Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.7199999981 | $30.00 |
| 05-10 12:18 | Will DISY win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election? | BUY | 0.6747906152 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 12:13 | Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election? | BUY | 0.75 | $25.00 |
| 05-10 10:13 | Will Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.59 | $41.87 |
| 05-08 18:27 | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | SELL | 0.997 | $39.88 |
| 05-08 18:26 | Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election? | SELL | 0.999 | $42.81 |
| 04-26 11:46 | Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $25.00 |
| 04-26 11:39 | Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election? | BUY | 0.75 | $30.00 |
| 04-25 22:23 | Will Liam Shrivastava win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7 | $30.00 |
| 04-20 22:06 | Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.981 | $24.52 |
| 04-20 22:06 | Will We Continue the Change – Democratic Bulgaria (PP–DB) finish third in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.9955855393 | $25.20 |