0xb167C6CaEAaFf581D737e109aAbCf6D1cB216F55-1771575265963
0xb167c6caeaaff581d737e109aabcf6d1cb216f55
- Realised P&L
- $-205.25
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $11.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample49 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $6.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will Antizuck Smart Glasses Scanner be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $5.20 | −$0.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET · Down | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$209.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.50at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET
- +$2.00at 0.915New 10% US blanket tariff goes into effect by February 28?
- +$0.08at 0.986Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$0.06at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on April 17?
- +$0.05at 0.990Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 08-05 19:03 | Will Antizuck Smart Glasses Scanner be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.20 |
| 07-23 13:23 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.14 |
| 07-23 13:21 | Will claude-fable-5 be the best AI model on July 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.41 |
| 07-23 13:16 | Will SkyView be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on July 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.36 |
| 07-20 18:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.49 |
| 07-20 18:42 | Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 135m? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.11 |
| 07-20 18:41 | Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.992 | $4.96 |
| 07-07 03:39 | Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on July 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.22 |
| 07-07 03:38 | Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on July 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |
| 07-07 03:35 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from June 30 to July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.24 |
| 07-07 03:34 | Will "Little Brother" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.991 | $5.03 |
| 06-18 11:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $5.05 |
| 06-18 11:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.01 |
| 06-18 11:32 | Will "Fast Charlie" be the top global Netflix movie this week? | BUY | 0.99 | $4.95 |