0xb046D2eD91eaccEBB37D51D8a149abbb0577d3d1-1723436330900
0xb046d2ed91eaccebb37d51d8a149abbb0577d3d1
- Realised P&L
- $145.02
- Volume
- $12.1k
- Markets traded
- 824
- Open portfolio
- $232.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded824
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$310.81at 0.864GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$74.26at 0.799GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?
- +$56.63at 0.680Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?
- +$50.75at 0.868Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$31.79at 0.128GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 14:36 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:35 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $100.00 |
| 08-04 14:35 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.829999956 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 14:35 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:26 | StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5499999956 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 14:25 | Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch | BUY | 0.8449136182 | $50.00 |
| 08-04 13:53 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 13:53 | Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9739999911 | $56.00 |
| 07-31 13:10 | GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8299999948 | $19.00 |
| 07-31 11:55 | GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.46 |
| 07-31 11:55 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0205640794 | $0.91 |
| 07-31 11:55 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0978806512 | $19.42 |
| 07-30 12:58 | GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.849999999 | $43.00 |
| 07-30 12:09 | GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.2844628826 | $45.26 |
| 07-29 16:59 | GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.569999866 | $4.00 |