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0xb046D2eD91eaccEBB37D51D8a149abbb0577d3d1-1723436330900

0xb046d2ed91eaccebb37d51d8a149abbb0577d3d1

Realised P&L
$145.02
Volume
$12.1k
Markets traded
824
Open portfolio
$232.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded824
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.9740.971$55.80$0.20
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9400.935$49.73$0.27
Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launch · Yes0.8450.810$47.93$2.07
StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.5500.505$45.91$4.09
Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.8300.935$11.27+$1.26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4800.525$10.94+$0.94
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes0.8300.875$10.54+$0.54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.6400.095$0.15$0.85
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.9400.098$0.10$0.90
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6600.038$0.06$0.94
Will Zama launch a token in 2025? · Yes0.4540.000$0.00$2.00
Raptors vs. Wizards · Raptors0.7400.000$0.00$1.00
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00$3.00
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5880.000$0.00$5.00
Heat vs. Trail Blazers · Heat0.4300.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 14:36Will Trump say "Stock Market" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.8299999967$10.00
08-04 14:35Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.988$100.00
08-04 14:35Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.829999956$10.00
08-04 14:35Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9399999996$50.00
08-04 14:26StandX FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.5499999956$50.00
08-04 14:25Saturn FDV above $50M one day after launchBUY0.8449136182$50.00
08-04 13:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
08-04 13:53Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.9739999911$56.00
07-31 13:10GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.8299999948$19.00
07-31 11:55GRVT FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.01$0.46
07-31 11:55GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?SELL0.0205640794$0.91
07-31 11:55GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?SELL0.0978806512$19.42
07-30 12:58GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?BUY0.849999999$43.00
07-30 12:09GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.2844628826$45.26
07-29 16:59GRVT FDV above $350M one day after launch?BUY0.569999866$4.00
Trader 0xb046D2eD91eaccEBB37D51D8a149abbb0577d3d1-1723436330900 · PolyBot