Nanbowa
0xb0324e065c2efa311d5f6bf339c29bde29383579
- Realised P&L
- $21.38
- Volume
- $29.4k
- Markets traded
- 150
- Open portfolio
- $120.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded150
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.997 | 0.995 | $120.03 | −$0.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.992Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 on April 27?
- +$0.71at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be between $52,000 and $54,000 on July 7?
- +$0.66at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 6?
- +$0.54at 0.995Will Ethereum reach $2,550 on April 27?
- +$0.43at 0.995Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 9?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.27 |
| 08-04 13:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.30 |
| 08-03 20:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.997 | $120.20 |
| 08-01 19:29 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.10 |
| 08-01 08:17 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $120.00 |
| 07-31 15:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $58.64 |
| 07-30 12:36 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.86 |
| 07-28 11:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.75 |
| 07-27 08:59 | Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $119.71 |
| 07-26 07:04 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July? | BUY | 0.997 | $119.61 |
| 07-24 22:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $119.53 |
| 07-23 21:27 | Will Ethereum reach $2,300 July 20-26? | BUY | 0.996 | $95.33 |
| 07-23 10:16 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $74,000 on July 26? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.01 |
| 07-21 14:07 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.99 |
| 07-21 14:06 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on July 24? | BUY | 0.998 | $95.27 |