Buffetwarren
0xb027bf065504afac2d96a2a3ffea7cd5b628d9dc
- Realised P&L
- $104.78
- Volume
- $59.0k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $39.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.978 | 0.983 | $24.57 | +$0.13 |
| Cambria FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.983 | 0.984 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? · No | 0.956 | 0.971 | $5.08 | +$0.08 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 21? · Yes | 0.994 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.12at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 15?
- +$13.27at 0.993Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 4?
- +$6.24at 0.998US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$5.65at 0.997Starmer out by June 15, 2026?
- +$3.20at 0.999Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 16:21 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.991 | $26.76 |
| 07-01 08:07 | Trump out as President by July 31? | BUY | 0.989 | $255.95 |
| 06-19 20:23 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.994 | $149.10 |
| 06-18 15:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.0k |
| 06-16 07:26 | Ventuals FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.978 | $24.45 |
| 06-16 07:26 | Will Ventuals launch a token by June 30 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.95 |
| 06-13 15:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $730.00 |
| 06-13 15:32 | Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $249.50 |
| 06-13 15:31 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | BUY | 0.998 | $249.50 |
| 06-13 07:06 | Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $249.50 |
| 06-13 07:06 | Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | BUY | 0.994 | $103.32 |
| 06-12 15:06 | Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.9973616883 | $1000.00 |
| 06-12 15:03 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of June 8 above $220? | BUY | 0.99 | $24.75 |
| 06-12 15:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.90 |
| 06-12 15:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of June 8 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $63.12 |