cxgbsdffd
0xb0124781dc3e248f30cd9671e6a5b033304a356f
- Realised P&L
- $6.17
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $24.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.920 | 0.925 | $22.90 | +$0.12 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.010 | $1.31 | −$5.25 |
| Pistons vs. Wizards · Wizards | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.70 |
| Spurs vs. Bucks · Bucks | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.98 |
| Timberwolves vs. Mavericks · Mavericks | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$171.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$122.64at 0.380Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$51.52at 0.860Mavericks vs. Raptors
- +$49.66at 0.420Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$41.41at 0.899Nets vs. Hawks
- +$29.00at 0.710Spurs vs. Raptors
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 06:20 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.92 | $22.78 |
| 08-05 05:57 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $20.24 |
| 07-09 09:15 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.934 | $20.09 |
| 06-24 06:24 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.42 | $35.96 |
| 05-18 08:24 | Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.938 | $56.28 |
| 05-18 07:52 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.997 | $134.78 |
| 04-23 10:53 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.998 | $134.92 |
| 03-30 12:23 | Timberwolves vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.31 | $170.64 |
| 03-28 08:30 | Spurs vs. Bucks | BUY | 0.06 | $16.98 |
| 03-19 09:17 | Pistons vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.09 | $20.70 |
| 03-12 09:45 | Nets vs. Hawks | BUY | 0.8990000851 | $368.59 |
| 03-06 07:27 | Mavericks vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.86 | $316.48 |
| 02-28 07:35 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.38 | $75.16 |
| 02-28 07:05 | US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.136 | $14.96 |
| 02-25 03:04 | Spurs vs. Raptors | BUY | 0.71 | $71.00 |