KJHGFGD5678675
0xb006ae685c5ab607e31f0db548f8d7f5cba5c243
- Realised P&L
- $31.72
- Volume
- $11.4k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $138.97
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana reach $160 in August? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $113.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $15.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · No | 0.981 | 0.981 | $7.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Democrats win the Pennsylvania governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.950 | $3.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$29.00at 0.710Trail Blazers vs. Pistons
- +$22.09at 0.550Carabao Cup: Tottenham vs. Manchester United
- +$5.84at 0.986Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
- +$4.23at 0.989Xi Jinping out before October?
- +$2.60at 0.991Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:31 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.9809999992 | $7.00 |
| 08-04 12:30 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.00 |
| 08-04 12:29 | Will Solana reach $160 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $114.00 |
| 07-10 08:32 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on July 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 08:30 | Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $401.00 |
| 06-22 09:46 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 06-14 11:27 | Will Elon Musk’s net worth be less than $660b on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.30 |
| 06-09 12:46 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $395.00 |
| 05-30 06:44 | Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.40 |
| 05-07 10:55 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in May? | BUY | 0.9929998453 | $6.00 |
| 05-07 10:54 | Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $373.00 |
| 04-29 16:13 | Will Solana dip to $50 in April? | BUY | 0.9989998012 | $5.00 |
| 04-15 14:30 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in April? | BUY | 0.9959999526 | $8.99 |
| 04-06 11:12 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April? | BUY | 0.996 | $6.00 |
| 04-06 11:11 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $401.00 |