PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

xdogetothemoonx

0xaed5dac1b274db368969decb1c213bc6d655bb6a

Realised P&L
$-86.48
Volume
$7.4k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$102.71

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.5970.158$76.66$213.83
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.192$19.15$15.85
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0490.033$6.11$2.96
Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0700.004$0.40$6.60
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.0290.002$0.30$5.50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$10.00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.5100.000$0.00$80.02
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-02 01:44Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.3434071117$36.65
04-02 01:41Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?BUY0.5099999994$80.02
03-25 13:33US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.8599999995$31.52
03-25 13:29US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?SELL0.14$18.20
03-23 16:45US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?BUY0.4299999984$80.00
03-23 16:43US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.1$20.00
03-23 16:17S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?SELL0.955$95.50
03-10 03:04Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.07$7.00
03-10 03:04Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.029$0.43
03-10 03:04Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.668$6.68
03-10 03:01Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.049$9.06
03-10 02:59Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.668$200.40
03-08 21:42Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?SELL0.3332262122$270.78
03-06 19:50Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2461220084$200.00
03-06 02:13S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?BUY0.71$22.36