xdogetothemoonx
0xaed5dac1b274db368969decb1c213bc6d655bb6a
- Realised P&L
- $-86.48
- Volume
- $7.4k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $102.71
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration26.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.597 | 0.158 | $76.66 | −$213.83 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.192 | $19.15 | −$15.85 |
| Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.049 | 0.033 | $6.11 | −$2.96 |
| Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.004 | $0.40 | −$6.60 |
| Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes | 0.029 | 0.002 | $0.30 | −$5.50 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.02 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$73.99at 0.340Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$70.78at 0.246Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
- +$62.20at 0.300Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$42.30at 0.053Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
- +$24.50at 0.710S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-02 01:44 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.3434071117 | $36.65 |
| 04-02 01:41 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | BUY | 0.5099999994 | $80.02 |
| 03-25 13:33 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.8599999995 | $31.52 |
| 03-25 13:29 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | SELL | 0.14 | $18.20 |
| 03-23 16:45 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30? | BUY | 0.4299999984 | $80.00 |
| 03-23 16:43 | US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 03-23 16:17 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.955 | $95.50 |
| 03-10 03:04 | Will Masoud Pezeshkian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 03-10 03:04 | Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.029 | $0.43 |
| 03-10 03:04 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.668 | $6.68 |
| 03-10 03:01 | Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.049 | $9.06 |
| 03-10 02:59 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.668 | $200.40 |
| 03-08 21:42 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.3332262122 | $270.78 |
| 03-06 19:50 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2461220084 | $200.00 |
| 03-06 02:13 | S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $22.36 |