0xae923a3802f9aa68bd3dc6385b96d937d11c329e
- Realised P&L
- $-150.88
- Volume
- $13.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,243
- Open portfolio
- $15.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,243
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.50at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 41°C on June 19?
- +$25.80at 0.290Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on June 23?
- +$24.33at 0.140Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?
- +$23.67at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on May 17?
- +$22.87at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.84 |
| 08-08 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.68 | $3.40 |
| 08-07 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-07 10:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.43 | $3.32 |
| 08-07 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 04:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 08-07 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-07 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.28 | $1.40 |
| 08-06 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 33°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-06 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.4 | $0.22 |
| 08-06 10:09 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.65 |
| 08-06 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 08-06 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 08-06 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.31 | $1.55 |
| 08-05 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.27 | $1.35 |