PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xae608ecbef420a36d743e2846b864067a5eb9c28

Realised P&L
$-178.43
Volume
$22.7k
Markets traded
551
Open portfolio
$4.23

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded551
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7300.855$1.26+$0.18
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.6200.745$1.22+$0.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5500.655$1.21+$0.19
Will BULK launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.145$0.54$0.65
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6550.000$0.00$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on May 24? · No0.9880.000$0.00$14.64
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? · Yes0.5400.000$0.00$1.02
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on June 14? · Yes0.7500.000$0.00$5.35
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on June 7? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$1.49
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? · No0.5500.000$0.00$2.04
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 · Under0.8500.000$0.00$5.24
Games Total: O/U 3.5 · Over0.5000.000$0.00$2.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Los Angeles Dodgers0.7100.000$0.00$2.00
Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back - Game 2 Winner · REKONIX0.7200.000$0.00$2.06
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 7? · Yes0.0950.000$0.00$19.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-05 03:17LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.79$1.99
07-04 20:49Paraguay vs. France: Team to AdvanceBUY0.93$2.00
07-04 14:08Degerfors IF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 0.5BUY0.97$2.02
07-04 10:22LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational PlayoffsBUY0.87$2.04
06-25 15:18Counter-Strike: OlyBet SB vs Subtop De France (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group ABUY0.72$2.12
06-25 14:59Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs TEAM VISION - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.85$2.00
06-25 10:39Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.69$2.00
06-25 08:56Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 25?SELL0.999$5.08
06-25 08:53Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 25?BUY0.98$4.99
06-25 05:32Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 25?SELL0.99$5.04
06-25 05:30Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 25?BUY0.983$5.00
06-25 03:29Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.655$2.00
06-25 02:21Czechia vs. Mexico: Mexico O/U 1.5BUY0.96$2.00
06-24 21:54Morocco vs. Haiti: Morocco 1st Half O/U 1.5BUY0.67$2.00
06-24 21:44Scotland vs. Brazil: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.86$2.00