0xae189ebcc31ee6293af65304762160e9bb134b41
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $8.4k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar22.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration57.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-07? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.001 | $1.07 | −$960.83 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.227Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$971.47at 0.360France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$248.62at 0.462England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 00:50 | Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.47 | $69.09 |
| 08-08 00:49 | Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.47 | $451.20 |
| 08-07 16:54 | Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-08-07? | BUY | 0.43 | $441.61 |
| 07-19 22:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.1k |
| 07-19 22:52 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 17:46 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3599999994 | $272.77 |
| 07-16 20:30 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3599999993 | $273.68 |
| 07-15 16:29 | England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4624999992 | $213.93 |
| 07-14 17:13 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2269999996 | $485.19 |