PolyBot

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Traders

0xadf2a4fc54834f6ae38d6fd6d4a52bc82dfa2053

Realised P&L
$-6.17
Volume
$500.51
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$1.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration48.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration88.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7? · No0.6200.675$1.20+$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on August 6? · Yes0.0060.001$0.10$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 6? · Yes0.0090.001$0.06$1.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 17:09Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?SELL0.84$0.31
08-06 17:08Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?SELL0.85$0.42
08-06 17:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.1$0.02
08-06 16:54Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.11$0.03
08-06 15:22Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.13$0.03
08-06 14:18Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 6?BUY0.0089388017$1.10
08-06 12:52Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.17$0.02
08-06 11:17Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.19$0.18
08-06 11:05Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.19$0.16
08-06 10:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on August 7?SELL0.25$0.13
08-06 09:22Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?SELL0.34$0.02
08-06 09:21Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?SELL0.37$1.07
08-06 08:55Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C or below on August 7?BUY0.659999856$1.10
08-06 07:54Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 7?BUY0.6199999775$1.10
08-06 07:45Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on August 7?SELL0.6$0.99