qtqt66
0xad98179ab01f0588ce42abdab77cb04290bb7a3f
- Realised P&L
- $599.34
- Volume
- $278.5k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $103.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration23.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.99 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.00 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 9? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $19.99 | +$0.01 |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) · PARIVISION | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$59.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$635.00at 0.500Open de Moselle, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Clement Tabur
- +$44.00at 0.560Wild vs. Red Wings
- +$1.63at 0.983Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
- +$0.87at 0.985Will the Texans win Super Bowl 2025?
- +$0.72at 0.984Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or below on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 15:28 | Will the price of Solana be above $90 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 15:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 15:27 | Will the price of Solana be above $100 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-07 15:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $0.85 |
| 08-07 15:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-20 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 07-20 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 07-20 14:02 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-20 14:01 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 07-10 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 07-10 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $19.94 |
| 07-10 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.96 |
| 07-10 15:42 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.98 |
| 07-10 15:41 | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |