0xad8b5e7fce5a0f77f4977ea728256814c7a6887d
- Realised P&L
- $-57.79
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $4.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.835 | $4.64 | −$0.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.97at 0.540Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
- +$3.65at 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$2.81at 0.390Fluminense FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 3.5
- +$2.57at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
- +$2.56at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | SELL | 0.913 | $9.65 |
| 08-07 12:23 | LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.999 | $5.02 |
| 08-07 11:45 | LoL: Team WE vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.5799999205 | $2.92 |
| 08-07 11:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9369999317 | $9.91 |
| 08-07 10:56 | Will "My Life with the Walter Boys: Season 3" be the #2 US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.889999982 | $4.95 |
| 08-07 10:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $2.42 |
| 08-07 10:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET | BUY | 0.449999953 | $3.35 |
| 08-07 08:05 | LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | SELL | 0.07 | $2.23 |
| 08-07 06:36 | LoL: JD Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.15 | $4.77 |
| 08-07 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $2.39 |
| 08-07 04:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5799999485 | $3.38 |
| 08-07 03:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $2.15 |
| 08-07 03:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999364 | $3.37 |
| 08-06 22:50 | CA Unión vs. CA Lanús: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.89 | $2.04 |
| 08-06 22:50 | Washington Nationals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 | SELL | 0.31 | $3.95 |