Terriously
0xad6fc1ecfb3f1abed8936091d97a85dcf2cf0244
- Realised P&L
- $38.70
- Volume
- $21.3k
- Markets traded
- 174
- Open portfolio
- $153.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded174
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$75.55at 0.339Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$66.03at 0.303Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$62.47at 0.150Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?
- +$43.84at 0.334Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?
- +$34.05at 0.191Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 12:15 | Will Rio Ferdinand attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.46 | $10.12 |
| 08-07 12:15 | Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.63 | $9.45 |
| 08-07 12:15 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | SELL | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 08-07 11:53 | Will Edu Aguirre attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 08-06 12:52 | Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.66 | $9.90 |
| 08-06 12:29 | Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.034 | $11.32 |
| 08-06 12:22 | Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.022 | $3.67 |
| 08-06 12:21 | Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? | BUY | 0.022 | $7.33 |
| 08-06 12:11 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.5 | $12.50 |
| 08-05 21:26 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 08-04 18:07 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 13:18 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.44 | $10.56 |
| 07-31 13:39 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 07-31 12:32 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.986 | $14.79 |
| 07-31 12:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.68 |