agxinvest
0xad5c849ac6cd0b9b84d7e3d636d6068f217e17ee
- Realised P&L
- $-6.9k
- Volume
- $120.8k
- Markets traded
- 164
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded164
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue · Noma Noha Akugue | 0.620 | 0.915 | $737.90 | +$237.90 |
| National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik · Jakub Mensik | 0.690 | 0.695 | $256.93 | +$1.81 |
| National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone · Valentin Vacherot | 0.600 | 0.595 | $210.70 | −$1.77 |
| National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Barbora Krejcikova · Barbora Krejcikova | 0.610 | 0.595 | $204.35 | −$5.15 |
| National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar · Ugo Humbert | 0.700 | 0.695 | $180.19 | −$1.32 |
| Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet · Adrian Andreev | 0.630 | 0.505 | $69.91 | −$17.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.33at 0.620Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta
- +$19.23at 0.960Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-07-26?
- +$17.56at 0.960Will Club León FC vs. CF Pachuca end in a draw?
- +$14.92at 0.984Will FK Kauno Žalgiris win on 2026-07-29?
- +$14.90at 0.984Will CA Independiente win on 2026-07-30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:10 | National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navone | BUY | 0.6 | $212.47 |
| 08-05 10:39 | Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Michele Ribecai vs Tomasz Berkieta | BUY | 0.62 | $149.00 |
| 08-05 09:00 | National Bank Open: Jacob Fearnley vs Jakub Mensik | BUY | 0.69 | $255.12 |
| 08-05 09:00 | National Bank Open: Ugo Humbert vs Daniel Merida Aguilar | BUY | 0.7 | $181.51 |
| 08-05 08:30 | National Bank Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Barbora Krejcikova | BUY | 0.61 | $209.50 |
| 08-05 08:30 | Plovdiv 2: Adrian Andreev vs Emilien Demanet | BUY | 0.63 | $87.21 |
| 08-05 08:30 | Warsaw: Weronika Falkowska vs Noma Noha Akugue | BUY | 0.62 | $500.00 |
| 08-02 03:33 | Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.986 | $428.75 |
| 08-02 03:01 | Will Club León FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.99 | $425.86 |
| 08-02 03:00 | Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.99 | $88.04 |
| 08-02 02:54 | Will Atlas FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $427.75 |
| 08-02 02:34 | Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.97 | $213.61 |
| 08-02 02:30 | Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.98 | $206.78 |
| 08-02 01:39 | Will Atlanta United FC win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-02 01:30 | Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-01? | BUY | 0.97 | $440.78 |