0xaCe3E1cD20759DBAE04AaE226111BB71Ac41F9B0-1779226113944
0xace3e1cd20759dbae04aae226111bb71ac41f9b0
- Realised P&L
- $-160.09
- Volume
- $21.0k
- Markets traded
- 386
- Open portfolio
- $59.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded386
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No | 0.870 | 0.865 | $17.30 | −$0.10 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.785 | $15.70 | +$0.30 |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.725 | $14.50 | −$0.10 |
| Aston Villa vs. Bayern Munich: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.710 | 0.535 | $10.70 | −$3.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$36.11at 0.813Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?
- +$28.30at 0.424MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$17.86at 0.245Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
- +$17.26at 0.645Uzbekistan vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5
- +$14.60at 0.270Will Donald Trump publicly insult Keir Starmer by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 01:06 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $17.40 |
| 08-07 00:05 | New York City FC vs. Club Santos Laguna: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-05 12:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.578 | $4.74 |
| 08-05 12:48 | AC Milan vs. Inter Milano: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.53 | $7.95 |
| 08-05 12:47 | AC Milan vs. Inter Milano: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 08-05 12:46 | Chelsea FC vs. Juventus Turin: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.36 | $7.20 |
| 08-05 12:35 | K-League Allstars vs. Manchester City: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.61 | $22.84 |
| 08-05 11:29 | K-League Allstars vs. Manchester City: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $19.98 |
| 08-05 10:04 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $15.40 |
| 08-05 08:38 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 08-04 19:27 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $36.71 |
| 08-04 19:27 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $35.23 |
| 08-04 19:20 | AC Sparta Praha vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.99 | $19.79 |
| 08-04 19:18 | Olympiakós SFP vs. NEC: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 08-04 19:14 | MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva vs. FK Crvena zvezda: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |