PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ChiefRiz

0xac630afe7d7878193676cdef46ea09150421e038

Realised P&L
$-60.12
Volume
$2.4k
Markets traded
107
Open portfolio
$20.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded107
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes0.5601.000$4.75+$2.09
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.2500.435$4.02+$1.71
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes0.3900.475$3.46+$0.62
US bank failure by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7500.725$2.63$0.09
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.9000.875$2.34$0.07
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · Yes0.3200.265$2.27$0.47
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.1400.075$1.48$1.28
Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw? · No0.3100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5920.000$0.00$5.23
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw? · No0.8200.000$0.00$4.09
Will France win on 2026-06-30? · No0.2300.000$0.00$4.09
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET · Up0.3900.000$0.00$4.34
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? · Yes0.2890.000$0.00$2.48
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 29 2026? · No0.6900.000$0.00$3.89
Leroy Sané: 1+ goals · No0.8270.000$0.00$5.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 14:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?BUY0.9$2.41
07-31 19:58Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1399999614$2.76
07-30 22:02Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?BUY0.32$2.74
07-26 19:22US bank failure by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7499997932$2.72
07-24 13:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?BUY0.56$2.66
07-21 21:45Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?SELL0.63$2.73
07-20 16:44US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.56$4.21
07-18 13:20Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?BUY0.3699999378$2.44
07-13 12:47Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5599999908$2.43
07-12 20:43Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?SELL0.94$3.08
07-10 15:22Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15?BUY0.2891345523$2.48
07-10 15:07Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?SELL0.51$2.12
07-08 22:30Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?BUY0.7399999391$2.43
07-05 19:32US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.3099999095$2.33
07-03 12:48Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.25$2.31