ChiefRiz
0xac630afe7d7878193676cdef46ea09150421e038
- Realised P&L
- $-60.12
- Volume
- $2.4k
- Markets traded
- 107
- Open portfolio
- $20.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded107
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.12at 0.200Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?
- +$4.89at 0.480Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$4.80at 0.460Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 2.5
- +$4.15at 0.370Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?
- +$4.11at 0.560Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 14:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.9 | $2.41 |
| 07-31 19:58 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999614 | $2.76 |
| 07-30 22:02 | Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.74 |
| 07-26 19:22 | US bank failure by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7499997932 | $2.72 |
| 07-24 13:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.66 |
| 07-21 21:45 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $2.73 |
| 07-20 16:44 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.56 | $4.21 |
| 07-18 13:20 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999378 | $2.44 |
| 07-13 12:47 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5599999908 | $2.43 |
| 07-12 20:43 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $3.08 |
| 07-10 15:22 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | BUY | 0.2891345523 | $2.48 |
| 07-10 15:07 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.51 | $2.12 |
| 07-08 22:30 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31? | BUY | 0.7399999391 | $2.43 |
| 07-05 19:32 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.3099999095 | $2.33 |
| 07-03 12:48 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.31 |