PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

lazercrazer

0xab8f49a32aa63b75d8da76777bc1e4be444406d6

Realised P&L
$9.0k
Volume
$247.0k
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$12.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2630.205$13.1k$3.7k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-17 18:12Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2634636073$15.9k
07-17 18:05Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2599999998$1000.00
07-08 02:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.352335626$7.4k
07-08 02:23Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.3731553229$14.5k
06-01 15:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.2259850399$7.3k
06-01 15:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.3822453577$10.5k
06-01 15:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.8258469557$17.8k
04-25 22:18Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4399999992$174.15
04-25 21:48Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.42$4.20
04-25 21:09Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4298402041$1.2k
04-25 20:50Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4208055727$2.0k
04-25 19:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4550949369$3.1k
04-25 19:19US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.57$3.1k
04-24 06:54Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.4309770001$3.0k
04-24 06:54US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.55$3.0k