Comet15
0xaac0801d6754aeef89851a226a58d25dcf756d53
- Realised P&L
- $15.99
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $51.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration21.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.997 | $51.90 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.52at 0.994Bulls vs. Mavericks
- +$1.84at 0.997Raptors vs. Knicks
- +$1.24at 0.998Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$1.23at 0.998Trail Blazers vs. Spurs
- +$1.18at 0.998Will "The Dinosaurs" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 09:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $52.00 |
| 08-03 11:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.999 | $51.50 |
| 08-01 16:44 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 July 27-August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $621.00 |
| 07-28 07:32 | Will Anthropic have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $619.28 |
| 07-23 11:52 | Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $619.00 |
| 07-12 15:52 | Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $619.00 |
| 07-04 19:00 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $557.00 |
| 07-04 18:59 | Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.999 | $61.00 |
| 06-27 00:27 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $276.00 |
| 06-27 00:26 | Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.9979999992 | $341.00 |
| 05-25 06:25 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $615.00 |
| 05-14 09:08 | Will Cirie Fields win Survivor Season 50? | BUY | 0.999 | $615.00 |
| 05-10 05:08 | Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 32m? | BUY | 0.999 | $615.00 |
| 04-20 03:27 | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.998 | $614.77 |
| 04-13 02:09 | Bulls vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.9942690056 | $611.21 |