0xAABeBA25b163Be832Fea68681aE91b0C6997672c-1779682666849
0xaabeba25b163be832fea68681ae91b0c6997672c
- Realised P&L
- $-35.95
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $14.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample34 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valorant: Evil Geniuses vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Group Alpha · Evil Geniuses | 0.410 | 0.435 | $8.48 | +$0.49 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 6? · Down | 0.500 | 0.385 | $6.16 | −$1.84 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET · Up | 0.010 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.32at 0.490Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5
- +$6.46at 0.340Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2?
- +$2.70at 0.740Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 25?
- +$2.39at 0.770Will Solana reach $75 on August 3?
- +$1.20at 0.490BNB Up or Down on July 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 13:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.0979355783 | $6.02 |
| 08-05 12:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.56 | $8.44 |
| 08-05 08:11 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $502.50 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $7.52 |
| 08-05 08:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? | SELL | 0.45 | $7.65 |
| 08-05 07:21 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 8? | SELL | 0.1323703704 | $6.61 |
| 08-05 05:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 6? | SELL | 0.4132764317 | $7.51 |
| 08-04 22:02 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,150 Week of August 3 2026? | SELL | 0.36 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 20:31 | Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Procyon Gaming - Map 1 Winner | SELL | 0.94 | $8.00 |
| 08-03 20:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.19 |
| 08-03 20:03 | Will the price of Solana be between $60 and $70 on August 4? | SELL | 0.9661309795 | $8.48 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $8.17 |
| 08-02 22:19 | Will Ethereum reach $1,900 on August 2? | SELL | 0.7201411765 | $12.24 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $0.03 |
| 08-02 18:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.24 |
| 08-02 18:46 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $300 on August 3? | SELL | 0.91 | $2.98 |