TraderMush2475
0xa96aee1506d720308808664d42d59e4dc3941377
- Realised P&L
- $-7.8k
- Volume
- $599.3k
- Markets traded
- 862
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded862
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be above $80 on June 1? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.70 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 1? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.16 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 28? · Yes | 0.929 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.34 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.16 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 18? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.85 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 23? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.59 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$390.45at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?
- +$316.63at 0.650Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?
- +$303.13at 0.615Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on February 28?
- +$280.62at 0.584Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 6?
- +$267.72at 0.620Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 16:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 5? | BUY | 0.9694054034 | $500.52 |
| 08-03 16:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? | BUY | 0.94 | $500.08 |
| 07-31 16:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 1? | BUY | 0.9590508434 | $500.16 |
| 07-29 21:06 | Will the price of Solana be above $70 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9439999999 | $500.85 |
| 07-29 17:55 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.91 | $499.59 |
| 07-29 17:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9694460516 | $500.52 |
| 07-29 16:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 30? | BUY | 0.9439999999 | $500.85 |
| 07-23 16:47 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 24? | BUY | 0.9699903102 | $500.52 |
| 07-19 16:34 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 20? | BUY | 0.93 | $500.34 |
| 07-16 17:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 17? | BUY | 0.9389999983 | $500.08 |
| 07-16 17:23 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.9689999994 | $500.52 |
| 07-14 16:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on July 15? | BUY | 0.94 | $500.08 |
| 07-13 16:37 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9532101782 | $500.85 |
| 07-13 16:02 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 14? | BUY | 0.9529999997 | $500.85 |
| 07-08 18:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on July 9? | BUY | 0.9489999999 | $500.65 |