ycjsaviola
0xa8d4834bc2c82346a961fc32b9d78067e840a8b4
- Realised P&L
- $-10.64
- Volume
- $320.00
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $12.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026? · No | 0.330 | 0.455 | $2.27 | +$0.62 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.036 | 0.044 | $2.23 | +$0.42 |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · No | 0.502 | 0.425 | $2.13 | −$0.38 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.270 | $1.89 | +$0.77 |
| Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.095 | $1.14 | +$0.06 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · No | 0.060 | 0.055 | $1.10 | −$0.10 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.007 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.015 | $0.75 | −$0.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.55 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 25? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.55at 0.800US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?
- +$0.10at 0.700Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?
- +$-4.56at 0.670Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 10:27 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 05:27 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.12 |
| 08-04 10:51 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 08-01 15:36 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 07-31 03:46 | Will New York Knicks win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.08 |
| 07-30 12:46 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.502 | $2.51 |
| 07-30 03:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 07-30 03:19 | Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? | BUY | 0.7 | $3.50 |
| 07-28 15:07 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.36 |
| 07-24 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 37°C on July 25? | BUY | 0.14 | $4.20 |