ScottWright163
0xa848c0176d1e3c675435eb4a4f37c11dbe42a9d5
- Realised P&L
- $2.19
- Volume
- $9.5k
- Markets traded
- 347
- Open portfolio
- $72.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded347
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $24.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $17.71 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $17.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $13.89 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.34at 0.993Once Upon a Farm IPO before 2027?
- +$0.27at 0.997Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025?
- +$0.06at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on May 17?
- +$0.05at 0.998Will the Milwaukee Bucks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.05at 0.999Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999605 | $17.30 |
| 08-05 21:38 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.998999984 | $17.70 |
| 08-05 12:58 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $24.00 |
| 08-05 11:52 | Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999937 | $13.90 |
| 07-31 07:10 | Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $23.20 |
| 07-31 02:21 | Will MrBeast hit 135.5 billion views by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.20 |
| 07-31 01:47 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $34.57 |
| 07-30 19:59 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 39°C or higher on July 31? | BUY | 0.9987485784 | $34.60 |
| 07-30 18:40 | Will Mishal Al-Ahmad Al-Jaber Al-Sabah sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9979999747 | $30.00 |
| 07-30 16:42 | Iran invades Kuwait by July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.60 |
| 07-30 11:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.90 |
| 07-30 11:15 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.10 |
| 07-30 09:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C or below on July 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.80 |
| 07-30 05:36 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $19.67 |
| 07-30 05:35 | Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $26.77 |