0xa7e9ecedf6a21a9d5194dd2505008c5da318f78b
- Realised P&L
- $-7.42
- Volume
- $608.43
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $1.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET · Up | 0.900 | 1.000 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down | 0.868 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET · Up | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.26at 0.392Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$3.26at 0.430Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET
- +$2.55at 0.440Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
- +$2.08at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
- +$1.92at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.04 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 19:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.8699999913 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:03 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.78 | $1.27 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $3.44 |
| 08-05 18:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 17:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.849999915 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 14:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $1.16 |
| 08-05 12:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 12:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 5, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 15:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 14:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET | SELL | 0.51 | $1.02 |