0xa7a1c3b19b7d7e4c8089f7dac76c2423a3b8a85e
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $63.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,934
- Open portfolio
- $37.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,934
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.999 | $9.42 | +$4.42 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? · No | 0.650 | 0.998 | $7.67 | +$2.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 9? · No | 0.670 | 0.994 | $5.93 | +$1.93 |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 9? · No | 0.780 | 0.885 | $4.54 | +$0.54 |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 9? · No | 0.920 | 1.000 | $4.35 | +$0.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 9? · Yes | 0.216 | 0.215 | $2.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9? · No | 0.628 | 0.485 | $2.32 | −$0.68 |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 8? · Yes | 0.450 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$91.58at 0.307Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C on April 14?
- +$87.32at 0.714Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on April 13?
- +$77.96at 0.671Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on May 22?
- +$72.61at 0.675Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on May 18?
- +$70.69at 0.800Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on May 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $6.65 |
| 08-08 23:33 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 100-101°F on August 8? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.80 |
| 08-08 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.81 |
| 08-08 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.21 |
| 08-08 22:46 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.6699999732 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 22:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.529999965 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 22:21 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 36°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 14:12 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.4239898836 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 14:11 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.6 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 14:10 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8299999834 | $4.00 |
| 08-08 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2163933918 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 14:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.6278443723 | $3.00 |
| 08-08 14:04 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 8? | BUY | 0.4499999625 | $3.00 |