0xa78DD68Eb364C6cF10e5F5A953dBdDE230687279-1777385117579
0xa78dd68eb364c6cf10e5f5a953dbdde230687279
- Realised P&L
- $-5.8k
- Volume
- $92.8k
- Markets traded
- 67
- Open portfolio
- $103.24
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-6.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded67
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates · New York Mets | 0.450 | 0.465 | $52.74 | +$1.70 |
| Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins · Los Angeles Angels | 0.410 | 0.405 | $50.50 | −$0.62 |
| Timberwolves vs. Spurs · Timberwolves | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.43 |
| Knicks vs. Hawks · Hawks | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$361.81 |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.669 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves | 0.184 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.58 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 · Over | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$322.12 |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves · Nuggets | 0.212 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$701.18 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$46.37 |
| San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · Arizona Diamondbacks | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$56.53 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$158.29 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.5k |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$364.97 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$679.05at 0.345Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
- +$438.82at 0.419Rockets vs. Lakers
- +$275.74at 0.553Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
- +$236.04at 0.727Hawks vs. Knicks
- +$212.99at 0.257Spurs vs. Timberwolves
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 13:06 | New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.449999996 | $51.04 |
| 08-08 13:05 | Los Angeles Angels vs. Miami Marlins | BUY | 0.409999998 | $51.12 |
| 08-08 02:33 | Detroit Tigers vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.4699999969 | $46.37 |
| 08-07 00:02 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | SELL | 0.83 | $77.11 |
| 08-06 22:38 | Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Braves | BUY | 0.6 | $55.74 |
| 08-05 01:03 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | SELL | 0.87 | $80.35 |
| 08-04 22:31 | San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.5199999978 | $56.53 |
| 08-04 22:21 | Athletics vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.5499999973 | $50.80 |
| 08-01 15:21 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.59 | $39.38 |
| 08-01 15:19 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.6 | $40.05 |
| 05-31 04:18 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | SELL | 0.92 | $57.92 |
| 05-30 22:41 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.5399999936 | $34.00 |
| 05-30 16:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.15 | $8.51 |
| 05-30 16:44 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | BUY | 0.2 | $11.34 |
| 05-30 16:32 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | SELL | 0.21 | $12.10 |