PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

CLaY123456

0xa7572021ecc1fab253fd8023d7b99f464cfbf01f

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$243.7k
Markets traded
62
Open portfolio
$100.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded62
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration87.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Hyperliquid listed on Binance in 2026? · Yes0.2960.135$87.44$104.03
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.095$9.50$15.50
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes0.0750.032$3.15$4.35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.0010.000$0.00$10.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting? · No0.0170.000$0.00$86.00
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026? · No0.2470.000$0.00$22.61
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$12.12
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$6.90
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m? · Yes0.0650.000$0.00$31.04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$9.00
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$149.50
US x Iran meeting by April 15, 2026? · No0.0770.000$0.00$715.48
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time? · No0.6980.000$0.00$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-23 15:53Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?BUY0.075$7.50
05-16 13:00Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?SELL0.071$5.65
05-10 12:39US military draft authorized in 2026?BUY0.08$52.00
05-10 12:38Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.46$19.84
05-05 13:15Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3532225519$5.95
05-05 13:14Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.17$188.53
05-05 12:21Epstein client list released by June 30?SELL0.0201169326$30.71
05-03 17:21Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.3240798376$23.95
05-03 17:20Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.3$60.00
04-30 23:29Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? SELL0.66038404$330.19
04-29 15:26Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? BUY0.399$199.50
04-29 14:42Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.25$330.40
04-28 18:21Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.38$76.00
04-28 18:14Will Trump visit China by May 31?SELL0.2400225167$74.62
04-27 14:23Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2860460079$38.30