PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

Top1-J

0xa5761fa386787d4bb7fb9f866acf034647538678

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$10.58M
Markets traded
402
Open portfolio
$55.0k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded402
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration65.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.9960.998$38.1k+$51.82
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.7370.998$6.6k+$1.7k
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9941.000$3.7k+$19.40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9870.994$3.0k+$19.98
Will 100 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026? · No0.9941.000$2.3k+$11.55
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2? · Yes0.1780.966$1.2k+$1.0k
Will 125 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.2000.001$0.75$299.25
Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? · Yes0.2000.001$0.54$214.25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$384.61
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$4.54
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$384.61
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4950.000$0.00$500.17
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$322.54
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$384.61
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$16.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:25Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.99575$398.30
08-04 15:58Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.95$516.98
08-04 15:52Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.9393466839$189.50
08-04 15:50Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.8905397571$178.19
08-04 15:46Will 100-124 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.001$0.43
08-04 15:44Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.0023481374$0.79
08-04 15:40Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.001$1.00
08-04 15:38Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.8798693221$580.53
08-04 15:37Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.1$150.00
08-04 15:35Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?BUY0.7788775162$465.10
08-04 15:33Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.9$102.13
08-04 15:33Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.00259163$2.59
08-04 15:33Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.006$6.00
08-04 15:32Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?SELL0.05$1.00
08-04 15:30Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 27-August 2?BUY0.138$4.14