ricci233
0xa5568c648cac83d34d7c471ae964c75cdafc5c0e
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $75.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $918.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.151 | $553.38 | +$424.81 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.112 | $223.00 | +$95.97 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? · Yes | 0.084 | 0.095 | $142.48 | +$16.96 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in June? · Yes | 0.182 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$165.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on March 4? · Down | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.57 |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on May 28? · No | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$154.16 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.24 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at >$105 in February? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.46 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in July? · Yes | 0.142 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$848.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$887.24at 0.313Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?
- +$522.72at 0.230Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $760 in May?
- +$420.87at 0.110Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$414.02at 0.424Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $380 in May?
- +$380.52at 0.061Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 17:04 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.2472001771 | $27.91 |
| 08-06 17:03 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.269 | $21.52 |
| 08-06 17:02 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $92.43 |
| 08-06 16:59 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.2835504891 | $157.70 |
| 08-06 00:39 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $5.10 |
| 08-06 00:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August? | BUY | 0.0635167026 | $127.03 |
| 08-05 16:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 08-05 16:37 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | SELL | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 08-05 16:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? | SELL | 0.14 | $70.00 |
| 08-05 16:35 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? | SELL | 0.1401181792 | $88.28 |
| 08-05 16:35 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | SELL | 0.5461564857 | $401.09 |
| 08-05 05:56 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August? | BUY | 0.0726907216 | $7.05 |
| 08-05 05:36 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? | BUY | 0.037 | $74.00 |
| 08-05 05:30 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August? | BUY | 0.1416102018 | $104.00 |
| 08-05 05:29 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August? | BUY | 0.033714345 | $94.23 |