PolyBot

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Traders

rated

0xa3ad70cf48a2f2b44163e798223c01a2c2536866

Realised P&L
$22.3k
Volume
$42.10M
Markets traded
10,964
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,964
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Maxx Crosby play for Las Vegas Raiders next? · Yes0.0310.819$483.43+$465.32
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0330.262$141.47+$123.53
Will Maxx Crosby play for Dallas Cowboys next? · Yes0.0280.126$77.48+$60.21
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0390.655$36.06+$33.93
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.1150.735$19.84+$16.73
Will Maxx Crosby play for Philadelphia Eagles next? · Yes0.0330.029$17.17$2.44
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9990.999$9.52$0.00
Will Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9710.998$9.52+$0.26
Will Tarcisio de Freitas finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9980.998$9.51$0.00
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9980.995$9.49$0.03
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8000.946$9.47+$1.46
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.0670.364$9.11+$7.45
Will Maxx Crosby play for San Francisco 49ers next? · Yes0.0330.015$8.58$11.02
Will Renan Santos finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9340.928$8.08$0.05
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.9850.992$8.06+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-23 14:13Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.85$479.43
06-23 14:13Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL0.1350551464$75.92
06-11 16:44Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.005$0.10
06-11 03:46Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.016$63.97
06-08 02:53Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026?BUY0.02356006$23.56
06-05 15:14Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.007$14.00
06-04 14:38Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.008$80.00
06-04 13:17Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.007923992$79.24
06-04 01:11Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.007$63.00
06-03 13:07Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.009$36.00
06-03 13:06Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?BUY0.009$45.00
06-01 19:45MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?SELL0.998$6.0k
06-01 15:51MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.461975$461.98
04-28 10:08Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?BUY0.962$49.06
04-28 10:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?BUY0.019$3.34