rated
0xa3ad70cf48a2f2b44163e798223c01a2c2536866
- Realised P&L
- $22.3k
- Volume
- $42.10M
- Markets traded
- 10,964
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10,964
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- ClearProfit concentration22.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.9kat 0.051Lighter Airdrop on December 30?
- +$77.2kat 0.003Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$72.3kat 0.003Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
- +$59.7kat 0.026Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$53.2kat 0.038Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 14:13 | Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.85 | $479.43 |
| 06-23 14:13 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | SELL | 0.1350551464 | $75.92 |
| 06-11 16:44 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $0.10 |
| 06-11 03:46 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $63.97 |
| 06-08 02:53 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.02356006 | $23.56 |
| 06-05 15:14 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $14.00 |
| 06-04 14:38 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.008 | $80.00 |
| 06-04 13:17 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007923992 | $79.24 |
| 06-04 01:11 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $63.00 |
| 06-03 13:07 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $36.00 |
| 06-03 13:06 | Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $45.00 |
| 06-01 19:45 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $6.0k |
| 06-01 15:51 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.461975 | $461.98 |
| 04-28 10:08 | Will the Green Party win the most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections? | BUY | 0.962 | $49.06 |
| 04-28 10:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.019 | $3.34 |