wildly
0xa37a21cfa7869ca94620630512db59a25bce3347
- Realised P&L
- $6.96
- Volume
- $7.2k
- Markets traded
- 86
- Open portfolio
- $39.51
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded86
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $39.51 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.09at 0.990Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 19?
- +$0.88at 0.800Will gas hit (Low) $3.95 by April 30?
- +$0.37at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15?
- +$0.25at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8?
- +$0.23at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on February 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 00:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.59 |
| 07-28 14:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.56 |
| 07-22 05:33 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on July 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $39.49 |
| 07-15 19:00 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 16? | BUY | 0.9989572503 | $39.03 |
| 06-20 18:43 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.99 |
| 06-20 18:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.984 | $6.99 |
| 06-20 18:37 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.992 | $2.21 |
| 06-20 18:35 | Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in June? | BUY | 0.9759999325 | $5.32 |
| 06-20 18:32 | Xi Jinping out by June 30? | BUY | 0.9969997999 | $4.01 |
| 06-13 11:04 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 15? | BUY | 0.997 | $121.40 |
| 05-24 13:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $115.43 |
| 05-09 11:12 | Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $216 in May? | BUY | 0.992 | $3.55 |
| 05-07 15:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 8? | BUY | 0.9989999932 | $125.03 |
| 04-30 10:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.62 |
| 04-26 17:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $104.20 |