mask002t
0xa31777a39b8434898f1be7d53ef91687a66aa328
- Realised P&L
- $-48.97
- Volume
- $40.7k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $67.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.995 | $23.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $22.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? · No | 0.995 | 0.994 | $21.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.47at 0.890Pelicans vs. Hawks
- +$0.51at 0.967Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
- +$0.45at 0.940Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.18at 0.978Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.16at 0.953AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 05:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $22.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $24.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 08-06 05:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.00 |
| 07-22 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 07-22 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-22 06:17 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 05:28 | Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $6.00 |
| 07-14 05:28 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.00 |
| 07-14 05:28 | Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 05:28 | Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.9869999989 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 05:27 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.9779999985 | $8.00 |
| 07-14 05:27 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 05:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on July 17? | BUY | 0.9979999247 | $12.00 |
| 07-14 05:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.00 |