HomelanderDadd
0xa30f0017cbfd975c0f018f10a3aa7b46a3d54da6
- Realised P&L
- $320.06
- Volume
- $69.4k
- Markets traded
- 856
- Open portfolio
- $124.35
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded856
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$193.48at 0.304Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on July 6?
- +$174.86at 0.161Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on June 25?
- +$166.48at 0.213Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on June 19?
- +$163.20at 0.217Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on June 27?
- +$160.14at 0.121Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 07:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.0320119511 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3219999337 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.3201155259 | $5.00 |
| 08-09 07:20 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.014505367 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.66 |
| 08-09 05:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on August 9? | SELL | 0.0467428875 | $3.52 |
| 08-09 05:41 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0553470415 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.4098509467 | $6.00 |
| 08-09 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1828773999 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.1819999419 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 04:12 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0619999428 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2319999285 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 03:54 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 26°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.08885099 | $2.00 |
| 08-09 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2414273933 | $3.00 |
| 08-09 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 9? | BUY | 0.2349999183 | $2.00 |